Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#203
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#189
Pace57.2#333
Improvement+4.5#39

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#218
Improvement-0.3#182

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
Improvement+4.9#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. L 61-91 10%     0 - 1 -17.6 -3.5 -16.0
  Nov 15, 2011 168   @ College of Charleston L 57-72 30%     0 - 2 -11.7 -6.8 -6.6
  Nov 22, 2011 37   West Virginia L 48-83 13%     0 - 3 -24.6 -20.0 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2011 99   Princeton W 68-56 25%     1 - 3 +16.9 +3.3 +14.6
  Nov 27, 2011 106   @ Bucknell L 50-54 18%     1 - 4 +3.8 -7.4 +10.2
  Dec 01, 2011 116   @ Kent St. L 63-83 20%     1 - 5 -13.0 -8.2 -4.4
  Dec 07, 2011 101   Illinois St. L 73-78 37%     1 - 6 -3.6 +9.2 -13.4
  Dec 10, 2011 278   South Dakota L 56-57 78%     1 - 7 -11.3 -8.2 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2011 341   @ Binghamton W 64-45 86%     2 - 7 +5.4 -4.2 +12.3
  Dec 23, 2011 201   Ball St. W 62-54 63%     3 - 7 +2.7 -8.3 +11.6
  Dec 28, 2011 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 51-67 43%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -16.3 -18.7 +0.4
  Dec 31, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 68-64 65%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -2.0 -3.2 +1.5
  Jan 05, 2012 211   @ Jacksonville St. W 63-55 39%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +8.9 +4.7 +5.7
  Jan 07, 2012 180   @ Tennessee Tech L 55-66 33%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -8.4 -10.6 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2012 165   @ Tennessee St. L 72-77 30%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -1.5 +10.2 -12.3
  Jan 14, 2012 262   Eastern Kentucky W 57-54 76%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -6.4 -12.7 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2012 42   Murray St. L 60-66 22%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -0.1 -3.2 +2.5
  Jan 21, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 62-56 92%     7 - 11 4 - 4 -11.9 -8.5 -2.2
  Jan 24, 2012 196   @ Norfolk St. W 75-69 37%     8 - 11 +7.5 +6.8 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech W 56-50 58%     9 - 11 5 - 4 +1.8 -13.4 +15.9
  Feb 02, 2012 307   @ SIU Edwardsville L 53-61 67%     9 - 12 5 - 5 -14.5 -18.2 +2.8
  Feb 04, 2012 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 56-55 63%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -4.4 -1.4 -2.7
  Feb 08, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. L 55-69 65%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -19.9 -5.5 -17.8
  Feb 11, 2012 262   @ Eastern Kentucky W 58-45 52%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +10.4 -1.8 +15.9
  Feb 15, 2012 212   @ Austin Peay W 52-48 39%     12 - 13 8 - 6 +4.8 -7.0 +12.9
  Feb 18, 2012 126   @ Bowling Green L 60-73 22%     12 - 14 -6.8 +1.5 -10.5
  Feb 23, 2012 299   Eastern Illinois W 75-39 83%     13 - 14 9 - 6 +23.8 -2.6 +27.5
  Feb 25, 2012 307   SIU Edwardsville W 76-61 85%     14 - 14 10 - 6 +1.7 +0.2 +2.2
  Mar 01, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. W 68-54 52%     15 - 14 +11.5 +8.6 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2012 165   Tennessee St. L 52-59 42%     15 - 15 -6.9 -15.7 +8.2
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%